DYNAMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE ESIL WATER BASIN

Authors

  • Manshuk Karatay RSE «Kazhydromet»
  • Galiya Turumova RSE «Kazhydromet»

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.54668/2789-6323-2022-107-4-6-23

Keywords:

surface air temperature, sum of atmospheric precipitation, determination coefficient, linear trend coefficient, statistical significance, Esil water management basin

Abstract

The article considers climatic parameters: air temperature, precipitation, humidity, saturation deficit, wind speed, and direction at meteorological stations of the Esil water basin. The intra-annual course of their distribution is given, and statistical characteristics are calculated, such as the average long-term value, the standard deviation, the difference between the average long-term values for the periods 1961…1990 and 1991…2020, the angular coefficient of a linear trend and the coefficient of determination. The norms of the average monthly surface air temperatures in the basin and the amount of precipitation for two consecutive periods are compared. The time series, sliding 11-year averages for the period 1941…2021, and a linear trend for the period 1976…2021 of the average monthly surface air temperature and precipitation over the territory of the Esil Water Basin are given.

References

Ezhegodnyi byulleten' monitoringa sostoyaniya i izmeneniya klimata Kazakhstana: 2020 god. Nur-Sultan, 2021. – 75 p.

Koronkevich N.I., Zaitseva I.S. Kak izmenenie klimata vliyaet na Tsentral'nuyu Aziyu. Kursiv Media: https://kz.kursiv.media/2019-09-27/kak-izmenenie-klimata-vliyaet-na-centralnuyu-aziyu/

Mustafaev Zh.S., Kozykeeva A.T., Kalmashova A.N., Al'diyarova A.E. Formirovanie gidrologicheskogo rezhima vodosbora basseina reki Esil', 2018. – P. 66-74.

Resursy poverkhnostnykh vod raionov osvoeniya tselinnykh i zalezhnykh zemel'. Severo - Kazakhstanskaya oblast' Kazakhskoi SSR, 1960. – 639 p.

Rukovodyashchie ukazaniya VMO po raschetu klimaticheskikh norm. – Zheneva, VMO № 1203, – 2017. – р 32.

Sal'nikov V.G., Turulina G.K., Talanov E.A., Polyakova S.E., Kauazov A.M., Vorotyntseva V.V. Struktura mnogoletnikh kolebanii obrazovaniya i razrusheniya snezhnogo pokrova v severnom Kazakhstane // Trudy gidrometeorologicheskogo nauchno-issledovatel'skogo tsentra Rossiiskoi Federatsii. – M.: 2015. – № 358. – р. 133-144.

Turulina G.K., Sal'nikov V.G., Polyakova S.E., Muratova N.R. Sovremennye tendentsii prodolzhitel'nosti zaleganiya ustoichivogo snezhnogo pokrova v Severnom Kazakhstane // Gidrometeorologiya i ekologiya. – 2013. – № 3. – р. 7-15.

Uteshev A.S. Klimat Kazakhstana. - L.: Gidrometizdat, 1959. – р. 371.

Cherednichenko V.S., Cherednichenko A.V., Cherednichenko A.V. Ozhidaemye izmeneniya klimata v Severnom Kazakhstane // Gidrometeorologiya i ekologiya. – 2013. – №1. – р. 7-19

Published

2023-03-29

How to Cite

Karatay М., & Turumova Г. (2023). DYNAMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE ESIL WATER BASIN. Hydrometeorology and Ecology, (4), 6–23. https://doi.org/10.54668/2789-6323-2022-107-4-6-23

Issue

Section

METEOROLOGY