MATHEMATICAL MODELING OF THE CITY AIR POLLUTION RISKS
Keywords:
mathematical modeling, environmental risks, city atmosphere pollution, WRF, HYSPLIT, stochastic modelAbstract
The technique of risk mapping of city atmospheric pollution by point sources (for example, pipes of thermal power plants) is proposed. The method is based on a set of statistics by solving direct problems of meteorology and ecology (air pollution). At the same time, the use of WRF and HYSPLIT models adapted to the conditions of the city of Almaty is provided for, and examples of calculations for these models are given. The algorithm of the stochastic model includes the calculation of risk measures in the form of the expectation and dispersion in each GRID cell.
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